Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Fryer on baseball: A division-by-division look at the CIF-SS playoffs

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A division-by-division look at the CIF-Southern Section baseball playoffs:

DIVISION 1

Top-seeded teams: 1. Orange Lutheran (25-4); 2. Cypress (26-3); 3. La Mirada (23-6); 4. Huntington Beach (22-6).

Orange County teams: Aliso Niguel (26-4); Beckman (22-4); Cypress; Dana Hills (16-13); Edison (16-13); El Dorado (14-13); El Toro (12-11-4); Foothill (19-11); Huntington Beach; JSerra (19-11); San Clemente (14-13-2); Servite (19-12).

Analysis: This is the most challenging divisional team championship to win in the CIF-Southern Section. Orange Lutheran has the pitching depth needed to advance far in this loaded division, having allowed only 41 runs in 29 games against top-shelf competition like they faced in the Boras Classic, the National High School Invitational and the Trinity League. Cypress has won 11 in a row going into the playoffs, including a 10-0 run in the Empire League. The Centurions can score runs and if their pitching is equally good they will be tough to beat. Aliso Niguel is an outstanding team but might not have been tested by the level of competition as often as the other Division 1 contenders. JSerra is a hot team, having won the Boras Classic championship and sweeping Santa Margarita in three games in the final week of the regular season. Some O.C. coaches grumble that Beckman does not play as challenging of a schedule as the Patriots could. That “nobody believes in us” mentality often is very helpful motivation for a high school team.

Final four: Orange Lutheran, Huntington Beach, La Mirada, Cypress.

Champion: Orange Lutheran

DIVISION 2

Top-seeded teams: 1. Arcadia (23-1); 2. San Dimas (23-4); 3. Thousand Oaks (23-5); 4. Bonita of La Verne (22-6).

Orange County  teams: Corona del Mar (18-8-1); Pacifica (14-14); Santa Margarita (20-11); Trabuco Hills (19-11); Villa Park (14-14).

Analysis: Santa Margarita was among the hotter teams in Orange County baseball until the final week of the regular season when the Eagles got swept in three games by JSerra. If they can recapture that momentum they could go far in this bracket. Villa Park is one of the more interesting stories in county baseball, with first-year coach Burt Call, who had been at Mater Dei for many years, leading the team to the North Hills League championship after a last-place finish last season. The Spartans will have their hands full in the first round against a solid Corona del Mar team. It looks, though, like the cream of the division is outside of Orange County.

Final four: Arcadia, Agoura, Thousand Oaks, San Dimas.

Champion: San Dimas

DIVISION 3

Top-seeded teams: 1. Paraclete of Lancaster (20-6); 2. Marina (19-10); 3. Jurupa Hills (24-2); 4. Great Oak of Temecula (18-9-1).

Orange County  teams: Capistrano Valley Christian (14-14); Fullerton (16-11); Katella (17-9-1); Ocean View (21-10); Marina (19-10); Northwood (10-12-1); San Juan Hills (15-15); Segerstrom (18-9); Yorba Linda (17-9).

Analysis: Marina won the championship of the Wave League. While that is the lesser of the two four-team leagues within the Sunset Conference, that was still a fine league with Corona del Mar, Laguna Beach and Newport Harbor in it. Capistrano Valley Christian season after season is among the better small-school teams in Southern California, but the Eagles have a tough first-round challenge in Yorba Linda. Yorba Linda this season defeated Division 1 playoffs teams El Dorado and Foothill. If you’re looking for two O.C. underdogs to follow in these playoffs, Yorba Linda is one team and Katella is the other. Katella has the pitching and defense required to thrive in playoff baseball. Ocean View prepared for the playoffs with two one-run wins over Segerstrom in the final week of the regular season. That’s a good pre-playoffs omen, tight wins against a good team.

Final four: Yorba Linda, Great Oak, Ocean View, Marina.

Champion: Marina

DIVISION 4

Top-seeded teams: 1. Sonora (20-8); 2. Summit of Fontana (18-6); 3. St. Paul of Santa Fe Springs (18-9-1); 4. Canyon Springs of Moreno Valley (18-7).

Orange County teams: Irvine (17-8); Kennnedy (21-9); Loara (16-8); Rancho Alamitos (15-8); Sonora; Sunny Hills (19-11).

Analysis: Sonora went 13-2 in the Freeway League, which is a good baseball league. The Raiders beat O.C. top 25 teams Villa Park and Newport Harbor during the regular season. Loara, champion of the Garden Grove League, sometimes struggles against good pitching. Watch out for Kennedy, the second-place team in the Empire League. The Fighting Irish beat Tesoro and held their own against Cypress in two league losses to the county’s No. 2 team.

Final four: Sonora, Alhambra, St. Paul, Culver City.

Champion: St. Paul

DIVISION 5

Top-seeded teams: 1. Pasadena Poly (15-2); 2. Dunn of Los Olivos (18-3); 3. Indio (20-4); Buckley of Sherman Oaks (17-4).

Orange County teams: Estancia (16-10); Garden Grove (12-14); La Quinta (15-8); Oxford Academy (19-10); Saddleback Valley Christian (10-9); Savanna (19-7); St. Margaret’s (13-5); Whittier Christian (10-17).

Analysis: The top Orange County contenders here are Estancia and Savanna … and they play each other in the first round. Estancia finished first in the crazy Orange Coast League, a league in which the standings were tight as was the competition. The Eagles know how to win a pressure-packed game. Savanna finished third in the Orange League, which was a fairly good league this year. The Rebels have league wins over Katella and second-place Century. The Savanna-Estancia winner could reach the quarterfinals. Century beat Katella, too, early this season and goes into the playoffs with back-to-back shutout wins over Magnolia. If Century’s pitching continues to hold up, the Centurions could be a surprise team.

Final four: Pasadena Poly, Rancho Verde of Moreno Valley, Century, Dunn.

Champion: Dunn.

DIVISION 6

Top-seeded teams: 1. Webb of Claremont (15-4); 2. Sultana of Hesperia (22-3); 3. Faith Baptist of Canoga Park (17-1); 4. Gladstone of Covina (15-6).

Orange County teams: Costa Mesa (12-11); Orange (13-14).

Analysis: Teams that get to the playoffs after surviving a hectic scramble in the final weeks of league play are playoff-ready teams. Orange and Costa Mesa finished second and third, respectively, in Orange County’s most dramatic league, the Orange Coast League. Both, however, are placed in tough parts of the bracket. If Costa Mesa gets to the second round the Mustangs play at top-seeded Webb, which has a first-round bye. If Orange gets to the second round the Panthers play at third-seeded Faith Baptist, which also has a first-round bye. That’s a tough setup for Costa Mesa and Orange.

Final four: Webb, Adelanto, Faith Baptist, Santa Clara.

Champion: Santa Clara.

DIVISION 7

Top-seeded teams: 1. United Christian Academy of Rancho Cucamonga (13-3); 2. University Prep of Victorville (13-6); 3. Bloomington Christian of Rialto (13-4); 4. Arroyo of El Monte (10-8-1).

Orange County teams: Tarbut V’Torah (12-5).

Analysis: Division 7 again has a bunch of teams that did not play a lot of games. That means either teams are well-rested or not as sharp as the intricate game of baseball requires for success. Express League champion Tarbut V’Torah, the only O.C. team in this bracket, has a strong baseball tradition. With a division as wide open as this one seems to be, the Lions could advance a couple of rounds. The one sure thing about this division: first-round scores will be wild. Ten of last year’s 16 Division 7 first-round games had the winning team score in double figures … including a 33-0 game.

Final four: United Christian, Arroyo, Bloomington Christian, Tarbut V’Torah.

Champion: Arroyo


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