Monday, June 24, 2019

Orange County suffers nation’s 10th biggest population outflow: 20,104 more exits that arrivals

Orange County last year had 20,104 more people leave than move in, the 10th-worst net outmigration among the nation’s big counties.

That’s what I learned when I filled my trusty spreadsheet with fresh Census population data for the 176 largest counties, places with 400,000 residents or more as of July 1, 2018. Domestic net movement comprises moves to or from elsewhere in California or the nation.

Taking the county population into account — 3.19 million, No. 6 in the U.S. — that outflow was equal to 0.63% of all residents. Of the 176 counties studied, only 39 fared worse. Historically speaking, the 2018 net migration compared to an average 5,483 outflow from 2010 to 2017 — 20th-biggest nationally.

More-the-merrier isn’t always true for population.

Note the locals who think the region’s already too crowded. They may cheer slow-growth numbers. It’s a trend that might help ease congestion — both in neighborhoods and on roads.

Yet there are numerous businesses and municipalities that thrive on population expansion. Plus, the shrinking birth rate raises questions about who will be the next generation of workers.

Here’s what else I learned about coming and goings in Orange County …

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’18 population: In a year, up 6,018 — No. 64 among the 176. On a percentage basis, that’s 0.19% — No. 122 nationally.

Decade’s population: From 2010-2018, up 5.62% — No. 94 nationally.

International migration: Added 10,286 last year — vs. 2010-17 average of 9,649. That’s 6.6% growth, ranking No. 105.

Births: 37,050 last year — down 2.2% from the previous five years, No. 92 nationally.

Deaths: 19,225 last year — up 7.5% from the previous five years, No. 53 nationally.

Elsewhere in Southern California, population moves inland …

Los Angeles County: 98,608 domestic outflow — the biggest net loss nationally — and a population loss of 13,241 — fourth-worst nationally.

Riverside County: 18,980 domestic inflow — No. 4 gain nationally — and population growth of 33,534 — No. 5 increase nationally.

San Bernardino County: 1,543 domestic inflow — No. 50 nationally — and population growth of 18,400 — No. 18 nationally.

 

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